New Claims out today and a big drop as many Easter seasonal advocates had argued. However, that’s not actually what interests me. If you look at Year-over-Year percent decline in Nonseasonally Adjusted Claims then they were running in a pretty tight band.
This suggested that despite the waviness in the week-to-week numbers the pace of improvement was essentially constant since last year.
Yet, there did seem to be a real slow down last year beginning in late April. What we would have hoped then is to see the year-over-year gap widen and we did in fact get that, at least for this one read.
My best guess is the annualized 10% rate of improvement in initial claims continues to chug right along.
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Thursday ~ May 3rd, 2012 at 2:42 pm
Terry
Reblogged this on Secret Blog #2 and commented:
This is the kind of data and analysis that really makes me feel warm and fuzzy.
Thursday ~ May 3rd, 2012 at 3:41 pm
rjs
& there hasnt been a tsunami related supply disruption yet this year either…